2019 FANTASY FOOTBALL DIRT SHEET: WEEK 11

PITTSBURGH STEELERS at CLEVELAND BROWNS

5 STAR PLAYS:

4 STAR PLAYS: Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry

3 STAR PLAYS: Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb, James Conner, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Vance Mcdonald

2 STAR PLAYS: Mason Rudolph, Diontae Johnson, James Washington, Kareem Hunt

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS: The Thursday Night Football match-up between AFC North bitter rivals, features two teams trying to turn their seasons around–the Steelers now right in the middle of a playoff push…the Steelers defense has been playing increasingly well as of late and I expect them to limit Baker Mayfield in this one–the season of discontent continues for Baker and the Browns offense…Odell Beckham Jr. Fantasy owners have been incredibly disappointed, and who could blame them…OBJ was a late 1st/early 2nd round pick and has not produced anywhere near those expectations…the Steelers are 15th in the league against the WR position, but like most teams, I’m expecting Pittsburgh to game plan to take him away from the offense…there’s no arguing the target share, so I think OBJ put up a solid floor performance in this one…with the Steelers paying more attention to Beckham, don’t be surprised if Jarvis Landry performs well in this one…he should receive ample opportunities (8-10 targets)…you know what you are getting in Nick Chubb…Chubb is going to get you those high teen-20 touches and that is valuable in Fantasy…even with Kareem Hunt returning (Hunt was used more as a pass-catcher out of the backfield)…again, give credit to the Steelers defense, they are 6th in the league against the Fantasy RB position…I’m expecting a low-end RB1/high end RB1 performance from Nick Chubb, just don’t assume RB1 status…with Kareem Hunt’s involvement, consider him a Flex option with upside…as far as the Steelers offense is concerned, the play makers are still limited due to the inconsistent QB play of Mason Rudolph…JuJu Smith-Schuster has been a disaster this year, and one can only hope for low-end WR2 type of performance…James Conner is expected back on Thursday Night, and should be back on that RB1/RB2 radar…if you’re looking for a random play, Vance McDonald is in play this week and is on the low end of the TE1 radar…with Diontae Johnson and James Washington splitting the targets from Mason Rudolph, both remain on the Flex radar only…

PREDICTION:

DALLAS COWBOYS at DETROIT LIONS

5 STAR PLAYS: Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott

4 STAR PLAYS: Amari Cooper, Kenny Golladay

3 STAR PLAYS: Matthew Stafford, Marvin Jones Jr., T.J. Hockenson, Michael Gallup

2 STAR PLAYS:

1 STAR PLAYS: Jeff Driskell (if Stafford is inactive)

ANALYSIS: When evaluating this match-up, the first thing to note is simply how bad the Detroit Lions defense has been in 2019…the Lions have been 27th against the Fantasy QB position and even worse, 31st against the Fantasy RB position…fire up your Dak and Zeke shares this week…Dak is a Top 10 play regardless of position for me, and Zeke is our #1 player in Fantasy for Week #11…I’m expecting both players to be sensational and clearly 5-Star Plays…on the other end of the Dak Prescott passes should be Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup–early and often…Amari Cooper looked sensational on Sunday Night Football this past weekend, and he is a Top 5 WR for me this week…we’ve been waiting for that big Michael Gallup week–it hasn’t come in the last several games, but perhaps we get it on Sunday…we have Gallup as a low-end WR2…as for the Detroit Lions–the evaluations for all of the Lions’ skilled position players depend on the health of Matthew Stafford…Stafford sat out a week ago with broken bones in the back, and although practicing, remains questionable…I believe Kenny Golladay is the go-to player in this one challenging the Dallas Cowboy’s defensive backs down the football field…Marvin Jones Jr. is a high-end Flex play with upside for more…this is a really nice match-up for T.J Hockenson, and with the position so shallow, don’t be stunned with T.J. Hockenson emerges as a low-end TE1 for Week #11…

PREDICTION:

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

5 STAR PLAYS:

4 STAR PLAYS: Leonard Fournette, T.Y. Hilton (if active)

3 STAR PLAYS: Jacoby Brissett, Marlon Mack, Nick Foles, D.J. Chark

2 STAR PLAYS: Dede Westbrook, Zach Pascal, Eric Ebron

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS: This match-up of AFC South foes pits two teams getting their Quarterbacks backs…for the Colts, a week after seeing Brian Hoyer behind center, Indianapolis cannot wait for their starter Jacoby Brissett to return…I know Brissett does not offer the enticing upside as many Quarterbacks in the league, but he remains a highly effective and efficient option…our expectations remain that #1 WR T.Y. Hilton will miss this one once again–the Colts offense simply has not been the same since he has been out…the Colts lack of outside options is really hurting the offense…they are relying on the likes of Zach Pascal at this point, and that is eliminating the big-play potential for the offense…you can still rely on Marlon Mack providing you with a safe ‘Floor’ game given his volume…as always, Mack offers you very little as a receiver out of the backfield, but still remains a mid-RB2 for the foreseeable future…as for the Jaguars, we haven’t seen Nick Foles since the season opener, so we are not really sure of what to make of the Jaguars offense…Gardner Minshew was good in his absence, it will just be a different approach with Foles under center…in the limited action that we saw from Foles in the pre-season seemed to hint that he favored Dede Westbrook, so he is the most fascinating player here to see if his value were to elevate…D.J. Chark has simply shined as the big play threat down the field, so I still value him more highly than Westbrook, but ultimately, I believe they balance each other out and form a nice tandem…I have Chark as a mid-WR2 at the moment, and Westbrook as a Flex option trending positively…you know what you’re getting from Leonard Fournette at this point–he has been rock solid all season long…if you wanted to point out the negative, you certainly could say that he hasn’t scored the touchdowns that we have been expecting…I would remain steadfast and suggest that those are coming…there may not be a player in the league due for more positive regression in the TD department than Leonard Fournette…he remains a Top 10 back for me…I would have Nick Foles as a lower end QB2 and would only consider streaming Foles in a 1-QB league in the most delicious of match-ups…

PREDICTION:

DENVER BRONCOS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS

5 STAR PLAYS: Dalvin Cook, Courtland Sutton

4 STAR PLAYS: Kirk Cousins, Stefon Diggs, Phillip Lindsay

3 STAR PLAYS: Royce Freeman,

2 STAR PLAYS: Brandon Allen, Noah Fant, Alexander Mattison, Olabisi Johnson, Kyle Rudolph

1 STAR PLAYS: Irv Smith Jr.

ANALYSIS: On the surface, one would think that the Broncos/Vikings Week #11 match-up would be more of a defensive struggle…that has been the thinking for the vast majority of Vikings games over the course of the season, but much to the contrary, Vikings games have been more and more higher scoring than one originally anticipates…what you see is a Vikings defense that has been beaten against the pass repeatedly…in this game–the one receiver that you would think could give the Vikings pass defense fits is Courtland Sutton…Sutton truly has emerged as a legit go-to option in the Broncos offense…one has to wonder how much he will be limited given that his Quarterback under center is Brandon Allen…Allen looked fine two weeks ago, you just have to wonder when the bloom will come off the rose…it was good to see the chemistry between Allen and rookie Tight End Noah Fant…we know Fant is electric down the field and can cause some match-up problems for the opposition…Phillip Lindsay continues to get the leg-up on Royce Freeman…over the course of the season, it has become apparent that Lindsay is simply quicker and gets through the hole more rapidly than does Freeman…Lindsay remains a low end RB2, and Royce Freeman remains on the ‘Flex’ radar…as for the Vikings, the offense continues to be one of the more predictable in the league…even in a tough match-up, against a good run defense, the Vikings find a way to force feed Dalvin Cook…Cook is still crushing at as a runner regardless of the match-up, but also, the Vikings are being creative and getting him involved as a pass catcher out the backfield, in particular, in the screen game…Dalvin Cook remains a lock and loaded Top 5 RB for the remainder of the season–and this week is no different…we are expecting Adam Thielen to miss in this one once again, so the heavy lifting will fall to Stefon Diggs…now in this one, Diggs will be matched up with Chris Harris Jr.–and that is certainly problematic…I imagine that Kirk Cousins is going to have to spread the ball around to a variety of options–getting the tight ends Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith Jr. involved…one thing we are banking on again–with an Over/Under of 38.5–we are going to roll with the Over…

PREDICTION:

HOUSTON TEXANS at BALTIMORE RAVENS

5 STAR PLAYS: Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins

4 STAR PLAYS: Mark Ingram, Mark Andrews

3 STAR PLAYS: Carlos Hyde, Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown

2 STAR PLAYS: Will Fuller (if healthy), Kenny Stills (if Will Fuller is inactive), Daniel Fells

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS: I simply cannot wait for this one…Lamar Jackson vs. Deshaun Watson…get your popcorn ready…I see no reason to pump the brakes on Lamar Jackson–he has been absolutely on fire as of late and I don’t foresee the Houston Texans defense (25th against the Fantasy QB position) putting up much resistance…the Baltimore Ravens defense was horrid against the pass to start the 2019 season, but have gotten significantly better as of late…give some credit to the addition of Marcus Peters to the secondary, as well as Marlon Humphrey getting healthy…I’m still not running away from the duo of Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins…I’m anticipating plenty of points in this one, so if the Texans are going to keep up, they’re going to have to challenge the Ravens pass defense down the football field…I know Carlos Hyde has been good as of late, and much of his success has been volume driven, but against a Top 10 run defense in the Baltimore Ravens, I’m expecting Carlos Hyde to have a tougher road ahead on Sunday…his counterpart, Mark Ingram, should have his typical Sunday afternoon…the Houston Texans defense is just middle of the road (16th to be exact) against the Fantasy RB position…we know that Lamar Jackson poses a unique challenge to defenses trying to stop the run, which should open up some running lnaes for Mark Ingram…he’s a solid, high-end RB2…we saw Mark Andrews get loose last weekend for couple scores…I believe when the passing game gets it going, Mark Andrews will ultimately benefit and give you solid TE1 numbers…the player to watch here is Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown who could potentially have a big day on Sunday…as with ‘Hollywood’ always keep an eye on the injury report, but if he’s active, you have to like Browns’ chances against the Houston Texans 30th ranked defense against the Fantasy WR position…I would also pay attention to the availability of Will Fuller for the Houston Texans…Fuller, like ‘Hollywood’ Brown are largely boom or bust type of players, but when you’re projecting a high-scoring affair, you have to consider it more likely that they are to boom…than bust…

PREDICTION:

NEW YORK JETS at WASHINGTON REDSKINS

5 STAR PLAYS:

4 STAR PLAYS: Lev Bell, Terry McLaurin

3 STAR PLAYS: Adrian Peterson, Sam Darnold, Robby Anderson, Jamison Crowder

2 STAR PLAYS: Derrius Guice (if active)

1 STAR PLAYS: Dwayne Haskins

ANALYSIS: This one may not exactly be a thing of beauty…the Jets have been very up and down as of late–one week losing to the lowly Dolphins, the next week defeating their crosstown rivals in the Giants–how do you know exactly what team we are getting in this one..? Sam Darnold versus Dwayne Haskins…not exactly the most appetizing match-up…Lev Bell hasn’t been the easiest watch–there’s no disputing that, but yet, has been effective for Fantasy purposes…Bell is heavily involved with carries and targets in the passing game so he remains a borderline Top 10 option week in and week out…the Redskins are 26th in the league against the Fantasy RB position, so I like Lev Bell this week more than most…with Sam Darnold looking competent, Robby Anderson and in particular, Jamison Crowder are back on the Fantasy radar…I like Robby Anderson as a Flex option in standard leagues and like Crowder as a Flex, but more so in PPR league formats…as for the Redskins, the backfield appears set for a split between Adrian Peterson and Derrius Guice which should limit the value of each…again, I cannot recommend either as anything more than a Flex option against a tougher defense in the New York Jets than you would think…I still really like Terry McLaurin as a player, but I’m terrified about what it means for his value with his collegiate teammate Dwayne Haskins under center…Haskins has looked out of his league quite frankly…and with Bill Callahan running the offense in ground and pound fashion, I struggle mightily to find the Fantasy value in Terry McLaurin or furthermore, anyone from the Washington Redskins…

PREDICTION:

ATLANTA FALCONS at CAROLINA PANTHERS

5 STAR PLAYS: Christian McCaffrey, Julio Jones

4 STAR PLAYS: D.J. Moore, Matt Ryan

3 STAR PLAYS: Brian Hill, Calvin Ridley, Kyle Allen, Curtis Samuel, Greg Olsen

2 STAR PLAYS:

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS: The 2nd of our two match-ups between two NFC South rivals, the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers square off in a game I very much look forward to…the Atlanta Falcons are coming off of a drubbing of the New Orleans Saints, in New Orleans, in what many would describe as simply stunning and has many of us still reeling a week later…the Panthers went toe to to with the Green Bay Packers until they were defeated on the final play of the game when Christian McCaffrey was stopped at the goal-line…speaking of C-Mac, he remains a top option at the RB position that can carry your Fantasy team…the Falcons have been really good against the Fantasy RB position, but who here is doubting Christian McCaffrey at this point..? You also need to pay attention to D.J. Moore and how he is playing at this point…D.J. Moore is emerging as the top pass catcher for the Panthers and is a legit, every week WR2…we still likely Curtis Samuel as well…Samuel tends to get more looks around the end zone, but tends to be a bit more boom or bust then Moore is on the WR2/Flex territory…seeing Greg Olsen dominate targets late in the Packers game was highly encouraging…I have Greg Olsen as a solid Top 10 option at the TE position…as for the Falcons, it feels like more and more of their offensive weapons are falling off…the Falcons traded Mohammed Sanu, and now Austin Hooper is injured and will miss Week #11, as will RB Devonta Freeman who will be out a couple weeks…NOW is the time Calvin Ridley..! Brian Hill ascends into the top RB role for the Falcons, and although he may not blow you away as a back, he should perform just as well as Freeman in the passing game and ultimately, due to his workload, Brian Hill should have a nice floor game in this one…the stars for the Falcons will show off in this one…the Matt Ryan/Julio Jones stack is one of my favorite plays of the week…Matty Ice is going to have to sling it for the Falcons offense to sustain success is a Top 10 option at the QB position…Julio Jones is certainly due for some positive TD regression…I expect some of that regression to come in the form of this weekend and Julio Jones is in the mix for the WR1 for me this week…

PREDICTION:

BUFFALO BILLS at MIAMI DOLPHINS

5 STAR PLAYS:

4 STAR PLAYS: Josh Allen, Devin Singletary

3 STAR PLAYS: John Brown, Devante Parker

2 STAR PLAYS: Ryan Fitzpatrick

1 STAR PLAYS: Dawson Knox, Kalen Ballage

ANALYSIS: Oddly enough you have two teams here, who have opposite postseason plans, but are trending in the wrong direction from their original course…the Buffalo Bills have lost two games in a row and need to find solid footing…the Miami Dolphins, oddly enough, have gone from ‘Tank for Tua’ to a two-game winning streak…I expect this to be one of those ‘get right’ games for the Bills…as always with Josh Allen, it isn’t always pretty…Allen isn’t the type of QB to hurt you with pinpoint accuracy, rather Josh Allen hits some big plays and effects the game with his legs…we have seen Allen buoy his Fantasy numbers the last two weeks with rushing TD…while I normally wouldn’t suggest that you can count on these numbers, with Josh Allen, it’s become such a regularity, perhaps you can…ultimately you can expect borderline QB1 numbers from Josh Allen in a plus match-up in this one…John Brown should be his #1 target and remains a big play waiting to happen…I have John Brown as a mid-WR2 this week…the big story in this one, for me, will be the breakout game for Devin Singletary…Singletary has been on the cusp, but I think this week against the Dolphins, he finally kicks in the door…I have Devin Singletary as a Top 10 back this week, and I’m not backing off of it…as for the Dolphins, as we state every week, playing any Dolphins in Fantasy Football is taking your life in your own hands…I don’t trust anyone in their backfield, I’m not sure how anyone can at this point…I do believe the one player on the offense you can like at this juncture is Davante Parker…with Preston Williams on the IR and out for the season, Devante Parker should receive as many targets as he can handle…in a game where they will likely be chasing, Parker remains a low end WR2…

PREDICTION:

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

5 STAR PLAYS: Drew Brees, Michael Thomas

4 STAR PLAYS: Jameis Winston, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Alvin Kamara

3 STAR PLAYS: Jared Cook, Ronald Jones

2 STAR PLAYS: O.J. Howard

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS: This game has high-scoring NFC South battle written all over it…the Saints coming off of one of the more surprising defeats of the entire NFL season when they fell to the one-win Atlanta Falcons at home…do the Saints come out and lay an egg two weeks in a row..? I’m saying highly doubtful…Drew Brees and Michael Thomas remain my favorite stack of the weekend and both are 5-star plays for me…I simply have a hard time seeing anyone in the Buccaneers secondary matching up with Thomas…Alvin Kamara did not provide you with much return on investment a week ago, the week following the Saints’ bye week and his first week back from injury…I certainly believe that to be an anomaly and would expect Alvin Kamara to return to the land of the high-end RB1 very soon…I know what you’re thinking–the Buccaneers have one of the better defenses in the league against the Fantasy RB position…and you would be correct…I would only suggest that Alvin Kamara is so key as a pass catcher out of the backfield that potentially he may be overlooked in what appears to be a tough match-up…I also like Jared Cook in a terrific match-up for the athletically gifted TE…he’s a sneaky play, but one capable of a Top 10 performance this week…the Buccaneers offense is one of the more centralized offenses in the NFL…you play the dynamic duo at WR in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin with complete confidence…both Evans and Godwin are top 10 Fantasy WR at this point…being the QB at the controls of this offense means big things for Jameis Winston as well…with Winston, you’re always concerned about the turnovers, but you know there is a high level of upside…in a match-up at home, against a Marshon Lattimore-less Saints secondary, I believe it’s a good spot for Jameis in this one…Winston is a Top 5 QB for me this week…Ronald Jones has been gaining a ton of momentum as of late, and he is certainly the Buccaneers back to own if there is one…that being said, in this one, he offers very low upside against a terrific Saints run defense…O.J. Howard FINALLY paid off for his Fantasy owners in Week #10, I just cannot recommend expecting an encore…

PREDICTION:

ARIZONA CARDINALS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

5 STAR PLAYS: George Kittle (if active)

4 STAR PLAYS: Tevin Coleman, Emmanuel Sanders (if active)

3 STAR PLAYS: Kyler Murray, Christian Kirk, Jimmy Garoppolo

2 STAR PLAYS: Larry Fitzgerald, Raheem Mostert (if Matt Breida inactive)

1 STAR PLAYS: David Johnson, Kenyan Drake

ANALYSIS: The 49ers are all kind of banged up on the offensive side of the football coming into this one…the 49ers will be without All-World TE George Kittle, their #1 WR Emmanuel Sanders, and RB Matt Breida…the 49ers are going to have to be reliant on their unbelievable defense and strong running game…I would expert the 49ers to lean on Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert in their backfield…Jimmy Garoppolo had a sensational day the last time these two teams played, and he will likely need it again if the 49ers are going to avoid a two-game losing streak…on the Cardinals side of the offense, Kyler Murray has been on fire as of late…as the weeks go on, it appears that Kyler Murray is getting more and more comfortable with the NFL game…last week his connection with 2nd-year WR Christian Kirk was undeniable as Kirk found the end zone three times against the Buccaneers… I wouldn’t expect a similar outcome in this one, I would think that the 49ers would game plan to take away Kirk after a performance like that one…with the more veteran players on the Cardinals, David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald waning down the stretch–expect to see more of Kenyan Drake, both as a runner and a receiver out of the backfield…

PREDICTION:

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

5 STAR PLAYS:

4 STAR PLAYS: Tom Brady, Julian Edelman, James White, Zach Ertz

3 STAR PLAYS: Carson Wentz, Alshon Jeffery, Jordan Howard, Sony Michel, Mohammed Sanu

2 STAR PLAYS: Miles Sanders, Dallas Goedert

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS:

PREDICTION:

CINCINNATI BENGALS at OAKLAND RAIDERS

5 STAR PLAYS: Josh Jacobs

4 STAR PLAYS: Derek Carr, Darren Waller, Joe Mixon

3 STAR PLAYS: Tyler Boyd, A.J. Green (if active), Tyrell Williams

2 STAR PLAYS: Ryan Finley

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS:

PREDICTION:

CHICAGO BEARS at LOS ANGELES RAMS

5 STAR PLAYS:

4 STAR PLAYS: Gerald Everett

3 STAR PLAYS: Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Todd Gurley, David Montgomery

2 STAR PLAYS: Mitch Trubisky, Allen Robinson, Jared Goff, Brandin Cooks

1 STAR PLAYS:

ANALYSIS:

PREDICTION:

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

5 STAR PLAYS: Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Melvin Gordon, Austin Eckler

4 STAR PLAYS: Philip Rivers, Keenan Allen, Hunter Henry

3 STAR PLAYS: Damien Williams, Mike Williams

2 STAR PLAYS: Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman

1 STAR PLAYS: